LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12
Mallorca
MLL
Cádiz
CDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca55%
Draw24%
Cádiz21%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.04
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.2%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession49%
39%Territory31%
24%From set plays24%
0.16Chance quality0.16
4.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mallorca, 3 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.