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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12

Eldense

ELD

Granada

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eldense29%
Draw28%
Granada43%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.43

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.6%
  • 0111.3%
  • 128.9%
  • 108.8%
  • 008.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Granada will have the ball; Eldense will not mind.

45%Possession54%
37%Territory36%
15%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.