LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12
Eibar
EIB
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eibar47%
Draw25%
Almería27%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.26
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Almería will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.
30%Possession52%
30%Territory32%
2%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.10
9.8%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.