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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Córdoba

CRD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna39%
Draw23%
Córdoba38%

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.88

Over 2.5

71%

Both to score

73%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 118.6%
  • 217.7%
  • 127.6%
  • 227.3%
  • 104.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Córdoba get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession60%
39%Territory39%
11%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Córdoba. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.