LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 12
Albacete
ALB
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Albacete42%
Draw25%
Sabadell33%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.49
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.7%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession43%
39%Territory41%
7%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.4%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.