LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 11
Sabadell
SAB
Tenerife
TEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sabadell42%
Draw26%
Tenerife31%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.33
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tenerife get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession45%
41%Territory34%
14%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.10
7.8%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.