LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 11
Leganés
LEG
Mallorca
MLL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés41%
Draw29%
Mallorca30%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.16
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mallorca get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession53%
35%Territory39%
5%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.16
5.1%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Mallorca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.