LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 11
Granada
GRA
Real Valladolid
REL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada46%
Draw28%
Real Valladolid26%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.04
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession48%
36%Territory35%
34%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.