LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 11
Girona
GIR
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Girona45%
Draw24%
Celta Fortuna32%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.59
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celta Fortuna will have the ball; Girona will not mind.
41%Possession55%
25%Territory39%
21%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Girona, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.