LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 11
Cádiz
CDI
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cádiz51%
Draw25%
AD Ceuta FC24%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.17
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession49%
31%Territory35%
24%From set plays40%
0.16Chance quality0.06
4.5%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cádiz, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.