LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 11
Almería
ALM
Real Oviedo
OVI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería55%
Draw23%
Real Oviedo22%
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.19
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Almería will have the ball; Real Oviedo will not mind.
52%Possession40%
32%Territory38%
13%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.