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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 11

Albacete

ALB

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete48%
Draw26%
Eldense26%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.14

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1010.7%
  • 219.5%
  • 207.9%
  • 017.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession45%
39%Territory37%
7%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.