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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 10

Real Sociedad B

REA

Almería

ALM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad B42%
Draw24%
Almería34%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.60

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Almería will have the ball; Real Sociedad B will not mind.

43%Possession52%
30%Territory32%
15%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.