LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 10
Las Palmas
LAS
Castellón
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas24%
Draw25%
Castellón51%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–28.0%
- 2–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Castellón will have the ball; Las Palmas will not mind.
51%Possession60%
43%Territory46%
39%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.15
3.0%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.