LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 10
Granada
GRA
Cádiz
CDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada52%
Draw26%
Cádiz22%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.04
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.6%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession49%
36%Territory31%
34%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.16
6.7%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.