Skip to content

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 10

Eibar

EIB

Mallorca

MLL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eibar47%
Draw27%
Mallorca26%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.11

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1011.5%
  • 219.3%
  • 008.2%
  • 018.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mallorca will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.

30%Possession53%
30%Territory39%
2%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.16
9.8%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Mallorca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.