LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 10
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Real Oviedo
OVI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AD Ceuta FC32%
Draw27%
Real Oviedo41%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.53
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC will have the ball; Real Oviedo will not mind.
49%Possession40%
35%Territory38%
40%From set plays37%
0.06Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.