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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 10

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Tenerife

TEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna40%
Draw27%
Tenerife33%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.36

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 108.9%
  • 218.7%
  • 017.9%
  • 127.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Fortuna will have the ball; Tenerife will not mind.

55%Possession45%
39%Territory34%
11%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.