LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 10
Burgos CF
BUR
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF56%
Draw23%
Sabadell21%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.15
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burgos CF will have the ball; Sabadell will not mind.
54%Possession43%
32%Territory41%
10%From set plays14%
0.17Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.