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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 9

Tenerife

TEN

Girona

GIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tenerife45%
Draw26%
Girona29%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.31

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 219.3%
  • 109.0%
  • 127.1%
  • 016.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tenerife get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession41%
34%Territory25%
41%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.13
9.1%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tenerife, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.