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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 9

Real Oviedo

OVI

Eibar

EIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo28%
Draw28%
Eibar44%

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.46

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–111.5%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.

40%Possession30%
38%Territory30%
37%From set plays2%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness9.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.