LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 9
Mallorca
MLL
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca44%
Draw28%
Las Palmas28%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.16
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Las Palmas get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession51%
39%Territory43%
24%From set plays39%
0.16Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mallorca, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.