Club Football Intelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 9

Sat, 10 Oct, 14:15 UTC

AD Ceuta FC

ADC

14:15 UTC

Sabadell

SAB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AD Ceuta FC31%

Draw24%

Sabadell45%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.78

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–110.4%
1–29.0%
0–17.4%
2–17.3%
2–26.7%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession43%

35%Territory41%

40%From set plays14%

0.06Chance quality0.13

3.7%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

AD Ceuta FC

Carlos HernándezDF1G 0A 0.33/90
Kuki ZalazarMF0G 1A 0.33/90

Sabadell

Nicholas GioacchiniFW3G 0A 1.21/90
Albert OrriolsMF1G 1A 0.67/90
Ton RipollMF0G 1A 0.42/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.