Club Football Intelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 9

Sat, 10 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Celta Fortuna

CEL

19:00 UTC

Real Sociedad B

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna35%

Draw25%

Real Sociedad B41%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.73

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–110.3%
1–28.5%
2–17.8%
2–27.0%
0–16.7%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Fortuna will have the ball; Real Sociedad B will not mind.

55%Possession43%

39%Territory30%

11%From set plays15%

0.10Chance quality0.12

3.8%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Celta Fortuna

Adria CapdevilaMF1G 0A 0.50/90
Anxo RodriguezDF0G 1A 0.50/90

Real Sociedad B

Gorka GorosabelMF1G 1A 0.95/90
Dani DíazFW1G 1A 0.79/90
Jon BaldaDF0G 1A 0.50/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.