LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 9
Cádiz
CDI
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cádiz27%
Draw28%
Sporting Gijón45%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.49
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 1–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession55%
31%Territory40%
24%From set plays27%
0.16Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cádiz, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Gijón
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.