LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 9
Burgos CF
BUR
Granada
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF48%
Draw27%
Granada25%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.10
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Granada get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession54%
32%Territory36%
10%From set plays34%
0.17Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.