LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 8
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Gijón57%
Draw23%
Celta Fortuna20%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.09
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting Gijón get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession55%
40%Territory39%
27%From set plays11%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Gijón, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Gijón
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.