LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 8
Las Palmas
LAS
Real Valladolid
REL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas45%
Draw29%
Real Valladolid26%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.02
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession48%
43%Territory35%
39%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.08
3.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.