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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 8

Eldense

ELD

Real Oviedo

OVI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eldense36%
Draw28%
Real Oviedo36%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.30

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 1010.0%
  • 019.9%
  • 008.7%
  • 218.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession40%
37%Territory38%
15%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Eldense

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.