LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 8
Castellón
CAS
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Castellón82%
Draw12%
AD Ceuta FC6%
Expected goals
3.10 – 0.85
Over 2.5
75%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.6%
- 3–09.6%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–17.9%
- 4–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Castellón will have the ball; AD Ceuta FC will not mind.
60%Possession49%
46%Territory35%
17%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.06
3.3%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.