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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 8

Cádiz

CDI

Leganés

LEG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cádiz30%
Draw29%
Leganés41%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.36

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 0111.6%
  • 009.5%
  • 109.4%
  • 128.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cádiz get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession53%
31%Territory35%
24%From set plays5%
0.16Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cádiz, 3 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.