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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 7

Tenerife

TEN

Cádiz

CDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tenerife46%
Draw27%
Cádiz26%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.09

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1011.7%
  • 219.2%
  • 008.5%
  • 018.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tenerife get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession49%
34%Territory31%
41%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.16
9.1%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tenerife, 3 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.