LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 7
Mallorca
MLL
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca43%
Draw25%
Almería32%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.45
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession52%
39%Territory32%
24%From set plays13%
0.16Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mallorca, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.