LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 7
Leganés
LEG
Castellón
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés26%
Draw26%
Castellón48%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.67
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession60%
35%Territory46%
5%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.15
5.1%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.