LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 7
Girona
GIR
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Girona44%
Draw25%
Albacete31%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.47
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–07.4%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession47%
25%Territory39%
21%From set plays7%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Girona, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.