LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 7
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Real Sociedad B
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AD Ceuta FC24%
Draw23%
Real Sociedad B52%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.94
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession43%
35%Territory30%
40%From set plays15%
0.06Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.