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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 7

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Sabadell

SAB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna42%
Draw24%
Sabadell33%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.59

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Fortuna will have the ball; Sabadell will not mind.

55%Possession43%
39%Territory41%
11%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.8%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.