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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 7

Burgos CF

BUR

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Burgos CF61%
Draw23%
Eldense16%

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.88

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.4%
  • 2011.0%
  • 1110.4%
  • 219.9%
  • 007.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Burgos CF will have the ball; Eldense will not mind.

54%Possession45%
32%Territory37%
10%From set plays15%
0.17Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.