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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 6

Sabadell

SAB

Real Oviedo

OVI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sabadell45%
Draw25%
Real Oviedo29%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.34

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession40%
41%Territory38%
14%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.09
7.8%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.