LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 6
Las Palmas
LAS
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas36%
Draw29%
Burgos CF36%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.28
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Las Palmas get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession54%
43%Territory32%
39%From set plays10%
0.08Chance quality0.17
3.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.