LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 6
Leganés
LEG
Granada
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés43%
Draw29%
Granada28%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.09
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–09.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Granada get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession54%
35%Territory36%
5%From set plays34%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.1%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.