LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 6
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Real Valladolid
REL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AD Ceuta FC29%
Draw27%
Real Valladolid43%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.48
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession48%
35%Territory35%
40%From set plays40%
0.06Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.