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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 6

Castellón

CAS

Tenerife

TEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Castellón69%
Draw19%
Tenerife13%

Expected goals

2.29 – 0.92

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2010.7%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.8%
  • 118.5%
  • 307.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Tenerife will not mind.

60%Possession45%
46%Territory34%
17%From set plays41%
0.15Chance quality0.10
3.3%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.