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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 26

Real Sociedad

RSO

Elche

ELC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad53%
Draw23%
Elche23%

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.25

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Sociedad will have the ball; Elche will not mind.

60%Possession51%
40%Territory39%
15%From set plays42%
0.11Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad, 3 for Elche. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.