LaLiga · Matchweek 26
Racing Santander
RAC
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Racing Santander26%
Draw24%
Rayo Vallecano50%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.80
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Racing Santander get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession60%
43%Territory44%
30%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.09
1.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Santander, 3 for Rayo Vallecano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Racing Santander
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.