LaLiga · Matchweek 26
Osasuna
OSA
Sevilla
SEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Osasuna54%
Draw26%
Sevilla20%
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.89
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Osasuna get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession44%
34%Territory41%
51%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Osasuna, 3 for Sevilla. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.