LaLiga · Matchweek 26
Málaga
MLA
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Málaga19%
Draw26%
Atlético Madrid55%
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.64
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Málaga will not mind.
45%Possession60%
36%Territory44%
6%From set plays9%
0.09Chance quality0.07
3.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Málaga, 3 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.