LaLiga · Matchweek 26
Getafe
GET
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Getafe32%
Draw35%
Deportivo Alavés34%
Expected goals
0.91 – 0.94
Over 2.5
29%
Both to score
38%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–017.5%
- 0–114.6%
- 1–014.0%
- 1–113.6%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
39%Possession42%
38%Territory38%
21%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.08
10.1%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Getafe, 3 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.