LaLiga · Matchweek 26
Celta Vigo
CEL
Espanyol
ESP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo48%
Draw31%
Espanyol21%
Expected goals
1.25 – 0.76
Over 2.5
33%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–017.0%
- 0–014.6%
- 1–112.7%
- 2–09.8%
- 0–19.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celta Vigo will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.
46%Possession37%
36%Territory30%
15%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.05
4.4%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 3 for Espanyol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.