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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 26

Real Betis

BET

Villarreal

VIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Betis30%
Draw28%
Villarreal42%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.39

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111.4%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Real Betis will not mind.

49%Possession61%
44%Territory49%
24%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Betis, 3 for Villarreal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.